They have played 21 sets in total, with Tommy Paul winning 13 and Alexander Bublik winning 8. The last match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul was at the U.S. Open - New York, 30-08-2025, Round: R3, Surface: Hard, with Alexander Bublik getting the victory 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-3 6-7(5) 6-1.
Second Serve Performance: In the past six months, Bublik has a slight edge, winning 45.79% of second serve points compared to Paul's 45.49%. Can this minor advantage translate into match success?
Return Game Stats: Bublik also leads in recent second serve return points, winning 46.88% versus Paul's 45.16%. However, Paul is more successful in first serve returns with 26.04% compared to Bublik's 21.12%.
Under Pressure Analysis: Bublik saves 56.94% of breakpoints, slightly outperforming Paul, who saves 52.06%.
Performance Overview: Last year, Paul achieved a higher win rate of 67.92% against Bublik's 62.9%, possibly hinting at better overall form.
Best Surface: Both players excel on grass, with Bublik at 62% and Paul slightly better at 65%. On their weakest surfaces, both maintain decent win rates: Bublik on clay (55%) and Paul on indoor hard courts (63%).
Player Level: Paul slightly outperforms Bublik in main tour matches in the past year, winning 68.42% of them compared to Bublik's 62.07%.
Direct Head-to-Head Matches: Paul has dominated with 5 wins in their 6 encounters, winning 11 out of 16 sets played.
Deciding Set Performance: Paul has proven superior in deciding sets, winning all 3 of their head-to-head battles that went the distance.
Pressure Situations: Interestingly, Bublik has won both tiebreaks they've contested, showing resilience under extreme pressure.
Opponent Quality: Recently, Paul's opponents have been tougher, with an average rank of 72.66 compared to Bublik's 83.32.
Break Point Conversion: In recent matches, Paul converts 34.62% of breakpoints, leading Bublik's 29.7% success rate, indicating a potential advantage in crucial moments.
Recent Head-to-Head Outcome: The last match saw Paul emerging victorious in a hard-fought three-setter at the Miami Open.
Editorial Prediction (August 31, 2025, UTC):
The upcoming match between Bublik and Paul appears to be highly competitive with both players showcasing strengths in different areas. Bublik has shown an advantage in second serve performance and resilience in tiebreak situations, which could be crucial.
However, Paul's upper hand is evident in their head-to-head history and consistent success in deciding sets. His higher win rate over the past year and ability to convert break points more effectively further emphasize his competitive edge.
Considering both players' performances and history, Paul is likely to come out on top in this encounter given his consistent form and previous successes against Bublik.
Tommy Paul vs Alexander Bublik Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
T. Paul vs A. Bublik H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions